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कम्प्यूटेबल जनरल इक्विलिब्रियम (CGE) मॉडल×स्टेट स्पेस मॉडल (कलमन फिल्टर)×स्ट्रक्चरल वेक्टर ऑटोरेग्रेशन (SVAR)×
क्षेत्रअर्थमितिअर्थमितिअर्थमिति
परिवारRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
उद्भव वर्ष200219901980
प्रवर्तकLofgren, Harris & Robinson (standard IFPRI CGE model in GAMS); Walrasian general equilibrium theoryHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filterSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
प्रकारNumerical general equilibrium modelState space time series modelMultivariate time series model
मौलिक स्रोतLofgren, H., Harris, R.L. & Robinson, S. (2002). A Standard Computable General Equilibrium (CGE) Model in GAMS. IFPRI Microcomputers in Policy Research, 5. link ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
उपनामcomputable general equilibrium, applied general equilibrium model, Hesaplanabilir Genel Denge Modeli (CGE)state space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)SVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
संबंधित345
सारांशA Computable General Equilibrium model is a numerical equilibrium framework that represents the input-output relationships among all sectors, factors of production, households, and foreign trade in an economy through a Social Accounting Matrix (SAM). Grounded in Walrasian general equilibrium theory and formalised in the standard IFPRI model of Lofgren, Harris and Robinson (2002), it simulates the economy-wide effects of policy shocks such as tax reform, trade liberalisation, or environmental policy.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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