विधियों की तुलना करें
चुनी हुई विधियों की आमने-सामने समीक्षा करें; भिन्नता वाली पंक्तियाँ रेखांकित हैं।
| ARCH-LM परीक्षण अस्थिरता क्लस्टरिंग के लिए× | जीजेआर-गार्च (असममित गार्च)× | मार्कोव रेजीम-स्विचिंग मॉडल (MS-AR / MS-VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| क्षेत्र | अर्थमिति | अर्थमिति | अर्थमिति |
| परिवार | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| उद्भव वर्ष≠ | 1982 | 1993 | 1989 |
| प्रवर्तक≠ | Robert F. Engle | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994) | Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999) |
| प्रकार≠ | Lagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticity | Asymmetric conditional volatility model | Regime-switching time series model |
| मौलिक स्रोत≠ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ | Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗ |
| उपनाम≠ | ARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity | asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle) | regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR |
| संबंधित≠ | 6 | 5 | 5 |
| सारांश≠ | The ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model. | GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994). | The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions. |
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