השוואת שיטות
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| מבחן ARCH-LM לאשכולות תנודתיות× | מבחן ברוש-פייגן להטרוסקדסטיות× | GJR-GARCH (GARCH אסימטרי)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| תחום | אקונומטריקה | אקונומטריקה | אקונומטריקה |
| משפחה | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| שנת המקור≠ | 1982 | 1979 | 1993 |
| הוגה השיטה≠ | Robert F. Engle | Trevor Breusch & Adrian Pagan | Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994) |
| סוג≠ | Lagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticity | Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity | Asymmetric conditional volatility model |
| מקור מכונן≠ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗ | Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI ↗ | Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗ |
| כינויים≠ | ARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity | BP test, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test, Lagrange multiplier test for heteroskedasticity, Breusch-Pagan değişen varyans testi | asymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle) |
| קשורות≠ | 6 | 3 | 5 |
| תקציר≠ | The ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model. | The Breusch-Pagan test, introduced by Trevor Breusch and Adrian Pagan in 1979, is a Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity — the condition where the variance of a regression's errors changes with the explanatory variables. It works by regressing the squared OLS residuals on candidate variables and checking whether they explain any of the residual variation, signalling that the constant-variance assumption is violated. | GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994). |
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