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Modèle DCC-GARCH à paramètres variant dans le temps×Modèle Factoriel Dynamique×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine2002 (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension 2010s2002
Auteur d'origineRobert F. Engle (DCC-GARCH); TVP extension developed in applied finance literatureJames Stock & Mark Watson
TypeMultivariate volatility model with time-varying correlationLatent-factor time-series model
Source fondatriceEngle, R. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147–162. DOI ↗
AliasTVP-DCC-GARCH, time-varying DCC-GARCH, dynamic conditional correlation GARCH with TVP, TVP dynamic conditional correlation modelDiffusion Index Model, Large-Scale Factor Model, Approximate Factor Model, Dinamik Faktör Modeli
Apparentées42
RésuméThe TVP-DCC-GARCH model extends the Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH framework by allowing not only the pairwise correlations but also the underlying model parameters to evolve continuously over time. It captures structural shifts in volatility dynamics and cross-asset dependence, making it essential for financial risk modelling in non-stationary environments.A Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) extracts a small number of latent common factors from a large panel of economic time series and uses those factors to forecast or nowcast a target variable. Formalized for macroeconomic forecasting by James Stock and Mark Watson in their 2002 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics paper, DFMs handle hundreds of indicators simultaneously while avoiding the curse of dimensionality that plagues traditional multivariate models.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Time-varying parameter DCC-GARCH model · Dynamic Factor Model. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare