Comparer des méthodes

	Modèle ARCH à Rupture Structurelle	Modèle ARCH (Hétéroscédasticité Conditionnelle Autorégressive)
Domaine	Économétrie	Économétrie
Famille	Regression model	Regression model
Année d'origine	1982–1990	1982
Auteur d'origine	Engle (1982) for ARCH; Lamoureux & Lastrapes (1990) for break-adjusted variance persistence	Robert F. Engle
Type	Volatility model with regime change	Conditional volatility model
Source fondatrice	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.
Alias	ARCH with structural breaks, break-adjusted ARCH, regime-switching ARCH, SB-ARCH	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Apparentées	5	6
Résumé	The Structural Break ARCH model extends Engle's (1982) Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by explicitly accounting for abrupt, permanent shifts in the conditional variance process. Ignoring structural breaks in variance causes ARCH parameters to appear spuriously persistent, so incorporating break dummies or regime-specific parameters yields more accurate volatility estimates and better model fit.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.