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Modèle GARCH Robuste×Modèle EGARCH (GARCH exponentiel)×Modèle GARCH (Prévision de la volatilité)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine1986–201319911986
Auteur d'origineBoudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)Daniel B. NelsonTim Bollerslev
TypeVolatility modelVolatility / conditional variance modelConditional volatility model
Source fondatriceBoudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
AliasRobust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCHGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Apparentées565
RésuméThe Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Robust GARCH model · EGARCH model · GARCH Model. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare