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| Modèle GARCH Robuste× | Modèle GARCH (Prévision de la volatilité)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Domaine | Économétrie | Économétrie |
| Famille | Regression model | Regression model |
| Année d'origine≠ | 1986–2013 | 1986 |
| Auteur d'origine≠ | Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986) | Tim Bollerslev |
| Type≠ | Volatility model | Conditional volatility model |
| Source fondatrice≠ | Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model | GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini) |
| Apparentées | 5 | 5 |
| Résumé≠ | The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates. | The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series. |
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