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Modèle ARCH Robuste×Modèle ARCH (Hétéroscédasticité Conditionnelle Autorégressive)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine2002–20081982
Auteur d'origineEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sRobert F. Engle
TypeVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model
Source fondatriceEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
Aliasrobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Apparentées66
RésuméThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Robust ARCH model · ARCH model. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare