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Modèle GARCH (Prévision de la volatilité)×Exponential GARCH (EGARCH)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine19861991
Auteur d'origineTim BollerslevNelson
TypeConditional volatility modelConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
Source fondatriceBollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
AliasGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
Apparentées54
RésuméThe Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: GARCH Model · EGARCH. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare