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Modèle ARCH de Fourier×Modèle ARCH (Hétéroscédasticité Conditionnelle Autorégressive)×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine2010s1982
Auteur d'origineExtends Engle (1982) ARCH framework with Fourier terms following Enders & Lee (2012)Robert F. Engle
TypeVolatility model with smooth structural changeConditional volatility model
Source fondatriceEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
AliasFourier-ARCH, F-ARCH, ARCH with Fourier terms, Fourier smooth transition ARCHARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
Apparentées66
RésuméThe Fourier ARCH model extends the classical ARCH framework by incorporating trigonometric (Fourier) terms into the conditional variance equation. This allows the model to capture smooth, gradual shifts in volatility dynamics over time without assuming abrupt structural breaks, making it well-suited for long financial or macroeconomic time series subject to slowly evolving regime changes.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
ScholarGateJeu de données
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  1. v1
  2. 2 Sources
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Fourier ARCH Model · ARCH model. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare