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Modèle CA-Markov de changement d'utilisation des terres×Modélisation Basée sur les Agents (MBA)×Analyse de chemin de moindre coût / Analyse coût-distance×
DomaineAnalyse spatialeSimulationAnalyse spatiale
FamilleProcess / pipelineProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Année d'origine19971970s–1990s (formalized as a field)1994
Auteur d'origineCellular automata (Clarke) + Markov chain (Muller & Middleton)Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod (foundational contributions, 1970s–1990s)Edsger Dijkstra (shortest path); GIS cost-surface adaptation
TypeSpatio-temporal land-use change simulationComputational simulation methodRaster cost-surface routing
Source fondatriceClarke, K. C., Hoppen, S., & Gaydos, L. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B, 24(2), 247–261. DOI ↗Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. DOI ↗Dijkstra, E. W. (1959). A note on two problems in connexion with graphs. Numerische Mathematik, 1(1), 269–271. DOI ↗
AliasCA-Markov model, cellular automata Markov, land-use change simulation, CA-Markov arazi kullanımı modeliABM, Ajan Tabanlı Modelleme (ABM), multi-agent simulation, individual-based modelingcost-distance analysis, accumulated cost surface, least-cost corridor, en düşük maliyetli yol
Apparentées353
RésuméCA-Markov is a hybrid spatio-temporal model that projects land-use and land-cover change by combining a Markov chain — which predicts how much of each class will change — with cellular automata, which decide where that change happens. Widely used for urban-growth and land-cover forecasting, it answers both the quantity and the location of change, something neither component does well alone.Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a computational simulation method, formalized through the work of Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod in the 1970s–1990s, that simulates the behavior of complex systems by specifying and running autonomous agents — individuals, firms, cells, or any bounded entity — whose local interactions with each other and with their environment collectively produce global, system-level patterns that could not be predicted from any single agent's rules alone.Least-cost path analysis finds the route between two locations that minimizes accumulated travel cost across a landscape, rather than minimizing straight-line distance. By encoding terrain, slope, land cover, and other frictions into a cost surface and accumulating cost outward from a source, it identifies optimal corridors for roads, pipelines, trails, power lines, and wildlife movement — a core raster-GIS technique built on Dijkstra's shortest-path logic.
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: CA-Markov · Agent-Based Modeling · Least-Cost Path. Consulté le 2026-06-18 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare