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| Modèle CA-Markov de changement d'utilisation des terres× | Modélisation Basée sur les Agents (MBA)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Domaine≠ | Analyse spatiale | Simulation |
| Famille | Process / pipeline | Process / pipeline |
| Année d'origine≠ | 1997 | 1970s–1990s (formalized as a field) |
| Auteur d'origine≠ | Cellular automata (Clarke) + Markov chain (Muller & Middleton) | Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod (foundational contributions, 1970s–1990s) |
| Type≠ | Spatio-temporal land-use change simulation | Computational simulation method |
| Source fondatrice≠ | Clarke, K. C., Hoppen, S., & Gaydos, L. (1997). A self-modifying cellular automaton model of historical urbanization in the San Francisco Bay area. Environment and Planning B, 24(2), 247–261. DOI ↗ | Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. DOI ↗ |
| Alias | CA-Markov model, cellular automata Markov, land-use change simulation, CA-Markov arazi kullanımı modeli | ABM, Ajan Tabanlı Modelleme (ABM), multi-agent simulation, individual-based modeling |
| Apparentées≠ | 3 | 5 |
| Résumé≠ | CA-Markov is a hybrid spatio-temporal model that projects land-use and land-cover change by combining a Markov chain — which predicts how much of each class will change — with cellular automata, which decide where that change happens. Widely used for urban-growth and land-cover forecasting, it answers both the quantity and the location of change, something neither component does well alone. | Agent-based modeling (ABM) is a computational simulation method, formalized through the work of Thomas Schelling and Robert Axelrod in the 1970s–1990s, that simulates the behavior of complex systems by specifying and running autonomous agents — individuals, firms, cells, or any bounded entity — whose local interactions with each other and with their environment collectively produce global, system-level patterns that could not be predicted from any single agent's rules alone. |
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