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Test de racine unitaire bayésien ADF×Test des bornes bayésien ARDL×
DomaineÉconométrieÉconométrie
FamilleRegression modelRegression model
Année d'origine1991–19922001 (ARDL); Bayesian extension 2010s
Auteur d'origineSims & Uhlig (1991); Koop, Osiewalski & Steel (1992)Pesaran, Shin & Smith (ARDL framework, 2001); Bayesian adaptation by subsequent literature
TypeBayesian hypothesis testCointegration / bounds testing
Source fondatriceSims, C. A., & Uhlig, H. (1991). Understanding unit rooters: A helicopter tour. Econometrica, 59(6), 1591–1599. DOI ↗Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds testing approaches to the analysis of level relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289-326. DOI ↗
AliasBayesian ADF test, Bayesian unit root test, Bayesian Dickey-Fuller, BADFBayesian ARDL, Bayesian bounds testing approach, Bayes ARDL cointegration, Bayesian PSS bounds test
Apparentées65
RésuméThe Bayesian Augmented Dickey-Fuller (BADF) unit root test re-frames the classical ADF test within a Bayesian framework. Rather than computing a frequentist p-value, it quantifies evidence for or against a unit root by comparing posterior probabilities or Bayes factors under the null (unit root) and alternative (stationarity) hypotheses, incorporating prior beliefs about the autoregressive parameter.The Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test extends the classical Pesaran-Shin-Smith (2001) bounds testing approach to cointegration by embedding it within a Bayesian inferential framework. Instead of relying on frequentist F- and t-statistics with tabulated critical values, the researcher specifies prior distributions on the model parameters and derives posterior evidence of a long-run level relationship between variables that may be integrated of order zero or one.
ScholarGateJeu de données
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ScholarGateComparer des méthodes: Bayesian ADF unit root test · Bayesian ARDL Bounds Test. Consulté le 2026-06-17 sur https://scholargate.app/fr/compare