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Epälineaarinen autoregressiivinen hajautetun viiveen malli (NARDL)×Granger-kausaatiotesti×Vektorien autoregressiomalli (VAR-malli)×
TieteenalaEkonometriaEkonometriaEkonometria
MenetelmäperheRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Syntyvuosi201419692005
KehittäjäShin, Yu, and Greenwood-NimmoClive W. J. GrangerLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TyyppiNonlinear cointegration modelTime-series predictive causality testMultivariate time-series model
AlkuperäislähdeShin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In R. C. Sickles & W. C. Horrace (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281-314). Springer. DOI ↗Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
RinnakkaisnimetNARDL, nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, nonlinear bounds testGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik Testivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Liittyvät454
TiivistelmäThe Nonlinear ARDL (NARDL) model extends the linear ARDL bounds-testing framework to allow asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships. By decomposing an explanatory variable into its positive and negative partial sums, it tests whether increases and decreases in a regressor have different effects on the dependent variable — a feature that linear cointegration methods cannot capture.The Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateVertaile menetelmiä: Nonlinear NARDL · Granger Causality · VAR Model. Haettu 2026-06-18 osoitteesta https://scholargate.app/fi/compare