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آزمون علیت گرنجر×آزمون هم‌انباشتگی (یوهانسن / انگل-گرنجر)×رگرسیون حداقل مربعات معمولی (OLS)×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1969198820192005
پدیدآورClive W. J. GrangerEngle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوعTime-series predictive causality testTime-series cointegration testLinear regressionMultivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادینGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرGranger causality test, Granger non-causality test, predictive causality test, Granger Nedensellik TestiJohansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط5554
خلاصهThe Granger causality test, introduced by Clive W. J. Granger in 1969, assesses whether the past values of one time series help predict another beyond what the latter's own past already explains. It defines causality in a strictly predictive sense rather than as a structural or physical cause.The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Granger Causality · Cointegration Test · OLS Regression · VAR Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare