مقایسهٔ روشها
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| آزمون بروش-پاگان برای ناهمسانی واریانس× | مدل نمایی GARCH (EGARCH)× | مدل خودرگرسیون شرطی تعمیمیافته ناهمسانی (GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| حوزه | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی | اقتصادسنجی |
| خانواده | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| سال پیدایش≠ | 1979 | 1991 | 1986 |
| پدیدآور≠ | Trevor Breusch & Adrian Pagan | Nelson | Tim Bollerslev |
| نوع≠ | Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity | Conditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant) | Conditional volatility model |
| منبع بنیادین≠ | Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗ | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗ |
| نامهای دیگر | BP test, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test, Lagrange multiplier test for heteroskedasticity, Breusch-Pagan değişen varyans testi | exponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH | GARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli |
| مرتبط≠ | 3 | 4 | 5 |
| خلاصه≠ | The Breusch-Pagan test, introduced by Trevor Breusch and Adrian Pagan in 1979, is a Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity — the condition where the variance of a regression's errors changes with the explanatory variables. It works by regressing the squared OLS residuals on candidate variables and checking whether they explain any of the residual variation, signalling that the constant-variance assumption is violated. | EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance. | GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns. |
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