مقایسهٔ روش‌ها

	مدل‌سازی نوسانات شرطی چندمتغیره BEKK-GARCH	مدل GARCH (پیش‌بینی نوسانات)	مدل خودرگرسیون برداری (VAR)
حوزه	اقتصادسنجی	اقتصادسنجی	اقتصادسنجی
خانواده	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
سال پیدایش	1995	1986	2005
پدیدآور	Robert Engle & Kenneth Kroner	Tim Bollerslev	Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
نوع	Multivariate conditional volatility model	Conditional volatility model	Multivariate time-series model
منبع بنیادین	Engle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11(1), 122–150.	Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327.	Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer.
نام‌های دیگر	BEKK Model, Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner GARCH, Multivariate BEKK, BEKK-ÇARCH Modeli	GARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)	vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
مرتبط	3	5	4
خلاصه	BEKK-GARCH, proposed by Engle and Kroner (1995), is a multivariate GARCH specification that models the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of a system of financial return series. Named after Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner, it is the dominant framework for quantifying volatility spillovers and dynamic correlations across multiple assets or markets simultaneously, widely adopted by financial economists and risk managers since the mid-1990s.	The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.	Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).