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آزمون ARCH-LM برای خوشه‌بندی نوسانات×آزمون بروش-پاگان برای ناهمسانی واریانس×مدل نمایی GARCH (EGARCH)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش198219791991
پدیدآورRobert F. EngleTrevor Breusch & Adrian PaganNelson
نوعLagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticityLagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticityConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Breusch, T. S., & Pagan, A. R. (1979). A simple test for heteroscedasticity and random coefficient variation. Econometrica, 47(5), 1287–1294. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticityBP test, Breusch-Pagan-Godfrey test, Lagrange multiplier test for heteroskedasticity, Breusch-Pagan değişen varyans testiexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCH
مرتبط634
خلاصهThe ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model.The Breusch-Pagan test, introduced by Trevor Breusch and Adrian Pagan in 1979, is a Lagrange-multiplier test for heteroskedasticity — the condition where the variance of a regression's errors changes with the explanatory variables. It works by regressing the squared OLS residuals on candidate variables and checking whether they explain any of the residual variation, signalling that the constant-variance assumption is violated.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: ARCH-LM Test · Breusch-Pagan Test · EGARCH. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-20 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare