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TGARCH-mudel (Threshold GARCH)×DCC-GARCH mudel (dünaamiline tingimuslik korrelatsioon)×EGARCH-mudel (Exponential GARCH)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1993-199420021991
LoojaZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)Robert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
TüüpAsymmetric volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
AlgallikasZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedThreshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCHDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Seotud656
KokkuvõteThe Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: TGARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · EGARCH model. Loetud 2026-06-19 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare