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Tingimuslik väärtus riskis (Oodatav puudujääk)×Eksponentsiaalne GARCH (EGARCH)×Kvantiiilregressioon×
ValdkondRahandusÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta200019911978
LoojaRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)NelsonKoenker & Bassett
TüüpCoherent tail-risk measureConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional quantile regression
AlgallikasRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Seotud545
KokkuvõteConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Conditional Value-at-Risk · EGARCH · Quantile Regression. Loetud 2026-06-18 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare