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| ARDL piirtest (Pesaran piirtest)× | Tavaline vähimruutude (OLS) regressioon× | Vektori veakorrektsioonimudel (VECM)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Valdkond | Ökonomeetria | Ökonomeetria | Ökonomeetria |
| Perekond | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Tekkeaasta≠ | 2001 | 2019 | 1987 |
| Looja≠ | Pesaran, Shin & Smith | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares | Engle & Granger |
| Tüüp≠ | Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model | Linear regression | Multivariate time-series model |
| Algallikas≠ | Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 | Engle, R. F. & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-Integration and Error Correction: Representation, Estimation, and Testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251-276. DOI ↗ |
| Rööpnimetused | Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test) | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu | vector error correction model, error correction model, cointegration model, VECM (Vektör Hata Düzeltme Modeli) |
| Seotud≠ | 4 | 5 | 4 |
| Kokkuvõte≠ | The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations. | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). | The Vector Error Correction Model is a multivariate time-series model for cointegrated series that captures both their short-run dynamics and their long-run equilibrium relationship. It was introduced by Engle and Granger in 1987 as part of the cointegration and error-correction framework. |
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