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Autoregressiivse tingimusliku heteroskedastilisuse (ARCH) mudel×DCC-GARCH mudel (dünaamiline tingimuslik korrelatsioon)×GARCH-mudel (volatiilsuse prognoosimine)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta198220021986
LoojaRobert F. EngleRobert F. EngleTim Bollerslev
TüüpConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelConditional volatility model
AlgallikasEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)
Seotud655
KokkuvõteThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · GARCH Model. Loetud 2026-06-19 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare