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Autoregressiivse tingimusliku heteroskedastilisuse (ARCH) mudel×DCC-GARCH mudel (dünaamiline tingimuslik korrelatsioon)×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta19822002
LoojaRobert F. EngleRobert F. Engle
TüüpConditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility model
AlgallikasEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance modelDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC
Seotud65
KokkuvõteThe ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: ARCH model · DCC-GARCH model. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare