Method evidence record

Agent-based scenario analysis

Agent-based scenario analysis embeds agent-based simulation models inside a structured scenario planning framework. Researchers define two to four contrasting future scenarios, configure agent populations and environmental rules to reflect each scenario's assumptions, run the simulation under each condition, and compare emergent outcomes. This makes it possible to explore how decentralized individual behaviors aggregate into system-level consequences under radically different futures.

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Agent-Based Scenario Analysis

Taxonomic method record · process-pipeline / simulation

Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ. · ISBN 9780691015675
Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: A tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25–40. · URL

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Same method familyAgent-Based Modelingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.See alsoMONTE-CARLO-SIMULATIONmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Taxonomic bucketPolicy Scenario Agent-Based Modelingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familySystem Dynamicsmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.