Regression modelQuasi-experimental / causal inference
Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity
Bayesian Fuzzy Regression Discontinuity (Bayesian Fuzzy RD) combines the quasi-experimental logic of fuzzy regression discontinuity design with full Bayesian inference. It estimates a local average treatment effect at a policy threshold where treatment assignment is probabilistic rather than deterministic, placing prior distributions over all unknowns and recovering a complete posterior distribution of the causal effect rather than a single point estimate.
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Sources
- Hahn, J., Todd, P., & Van der Klaauw, W. (2001). Identification and Estimation of Treatment Effects with a Regression-Discontinuity Design. Review of Economic Studies, 68(1), 201-209. DOI: 10.1111/1467-937X.00171 ↗
- Chib, S., & Jacobi, L. (2016). Bayesian fuzzy regression discontinuity analysis and returns to compulsory schooling. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 31(6), 1026-1047. DOI: 10.1002/jae.2463 ↗