Methoden vergleichen

	Nichtlineares Autoregressives Distributives Lag-Modell (NARDL)	Quantile Regression	Autoregressive Modell mit glatter Übergangsfunktion (STAR-Modell)
Fachgebiet	Ökonometrie	Ökonometrie	Ökonometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Entstehungsjahr	2014	1978	1994
Urheber	Shin, Yu & Greenwood-Nimmo	Koenker & Bassett	Teräsvirta (1994); van Dijk, Teräsvirta & Franses (2002)
Typ	Asymmetric cointegration / error-correction model	Conditional quantile regression	Nonlinear time-series regime-switching model
Wegweisende Quelle	Shin, Y., Yu, B. & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling Asymmetric Cointegration and Dynamic Multipliers in a Nonlinear ARDL Framework. In: Sickles, R. & Horrace, W. (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt. Springer.	Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.	Teräsvirta, T. (1994). Specification, Estimation, and Evaluation of Smooth Transition Autoregressive Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 89(425), 208–218.
Aliasnamen	nonlinear ARDL, asymmetric ARDL, Doğrusal Olmayan ARDL (NARDL)	conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon	smooth transition autoregressive model, LSTAR, ESTAR, logistic STAR
Verwandt	4	5	4
Zusammenfassung	The NARDL model, introduced by Shin, Yu and Greenwood-Nimmo in 2014, extends the ARDL framework to capture asymmetric long-run and short-run relationships, testing whether positive and negative changes in a regressor affect the dependent variable differently.	Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.	The Smooth Transition Autoregressive (STAR) model is a nonlinear time-series model, developed in Teräsvirta's 1994 framework, that lets the dynamics move smoothly rather than abruptly between two regimes. The logistic variant (LSTAR) captures asymmetric business cycles and the exponential variant (ESTAR) captures purchasing-power-parity deviations.