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Bayesiansk Agentbaseret Modellering — Kalibrering af Komplekse Simulationer med Bayesiansk Inferens

Bayesiansk Agentbaseret Modellering integrerer Bayesiansk statistisk inferens med agentbaseret simulering for at kalibrere modelparametre og kvantificere usikkerhed. I stedet for at fastsætte agentregler og parametre ved antagelse, behandler denne tilgang ukendte parametre som sandsynlighedsfordelinger og opdaterer dem systematisk mod observerede data, hvilket resulterer i en fuld posterior over plausible modelkonfigurationer.

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Kilder

  1. Sunnaker, M., Busetto, A. G., Numminen, E., Corander, J., Foll, M., Dessimoz, C. (2013). Approximate Bayesian Computation. PLOS Computational Biology, 9(1), e1002803. DOI: 10.1371/journal.pcbi.1002803
  2. Grazzini, J., Richiardi, M. (2015). Estimation of agent-based models by simulated minimum distance. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 51, 148-165. DOI: 10.1016/j.jedc.2014.10.006

Sådan citerer du denne side

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Agent-Based Modeling — Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification for Agent-Based Models. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/da/simulation/bayesian-agent-based-modeling

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Refereret af

ScholarGateBayesian Agent-Based Modeling (Bayesian Agent-Based Modeling — Parameter Estimation and Uncertainty Quantification for Agent-Based Models). Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/simulation/bayesian-agent-based-modeling · Datasæt: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026