Porovnat metody
Prohlédněte si vybrané metody vedle sebe; řádky, které se liší, jsou zvýrazněny.
| DCC-GARCH (dynamická podmíněná korelace)× | Model ARIMA (autoregresní integrovaný klouzavý průměr)× | Kopuulové modely (Gaussovský, t, Clayton, Gumbel, Frank)× | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Obor≠ | Finance | Ekonometrie | Finance |
| Rodina | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 2002 | 2015 | 1959 |
| Tvůrce≠ | Robert F. Engle | Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology) | Sklar (1959); dependence-concept treatment by Joe (1997) |
| Typ≠ | Multivariate volatility model | Univariate time-series model | Dependence model |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗ | Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021 | Sklar, A. (1959). Fonctions de répartition à n dimensions et leurs marges. Publications de l'Institut Statistique de l'Université de Paris, 8, 229-231. link ↗ |
| Další názvy≠ | dynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyon | Box-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli | copulas, dependence copulas, vine copulas, Kopula Modelleri (Gaussian, t, Clayton, Gumbel, Frank) |
| Příbuzné | 5 | 5 | 5 |
| Shrnutí≠ | DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step. | ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015). | Copula models are a family of functions that describe the dependence structure between variables separately from their individual (marginal) distributions. The foundation is Sklar's theorem (1959), which shows that any multivariate distribution can be split into its marginals plus a copula; Joe (1997) developed the modern catalogue of dependence concepts. They are central to portfolio risk and credit modelling. |
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