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Vector autoregressiu amb llindar i transició suau (TVAR / STVAR)×Model de commutació de règims de Markov (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×
CampEconometriaEconometria
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Any d'origen19981989
Autor originalTsay (multivariate threshold modelling)Hamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)
TipusNonlinear multivariate time-series modelRegime-switching time series model
Font seminalTsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗
ÀliesTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VARregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VAR
Relacionats55
ResumThreshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR · Markov-Switching Model. Recuperat el 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare