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| Avaluació d'Impact Contrafactual Robusta× | Avaluació d'Impact Contrafactual (AIC)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Camp | Inferència causal | Inferència causal |
| Família | Regression model | Regression model |
| Any d'origen≠ | 2010s | 1970s–2000s |
| Autor original≠ | European Commission evaluation community; Pellegrini, Ferrara and colleagues | Heckman, Imbens, Rubin, and the program evaluation literature |
| Tipus≠ | Robustness-validated causal evaluation | Causal inference / program evaluation |
| Font seminal≠ | Bia, M., Flores, C. A., Flores-Lagunes, A., & Mattei, A. (2014). A Stata package for the application of semiparametric estimators of dose–response functions. Stata Journal, 14(3), 580–604. link ↗ | Heckman, J. J., & Vytlacil, E. J. (2007). Econometric evaluation of social programs, Part I: Causal models, structural models and econometric policy evaluation. Handbook of Econometrics, 6B, 4779-4874. DOI ↗ |
| Àlies | Robust CIE, Sensitivity-checked CIE, Multi-method counterfactual evaluation, Robustness-validated impact evaluation | CIE, counterfactual evaluation, counterfactual policy evaluation, impact evaluation |
| Relacionats | 5 | 5 |
| Resum≠ | Robust Counterfactual Impact Evaluation (Robust CIE) strengthens causal impact estimates by combining multiple quasi-experimental estimators, placebo tests, and formal sensitivity analyses. Rather than relying on a single method, it cross-validates findings across approaches — such as matching, difference-in-differences, and regression discontinuity — to ensure that conclusions do not depend on any single methodological choice. | Counterfactual Impact Evaluation is a family of causal methods that estimates the effect of an intervention by comparing what actually happened to participants with what would have happened had the intervention not taken place. Formalised in the Rubin Causal Model and extended by Heckman, Imbens and others, CIE underlies most modern program and policy evaluation practice. |
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