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Nonlinear TGARCH Model×GARCH মডেল (ভলাটিলিটি পূর্বাভাস)×থ্রেশহোল্ড GARCH (TGARCH) মডেল×
ক্ষেত্রঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতি
পরিবারRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
উদ্ভবের বছর1993–199419861993-1994
প্রবর্তকJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleTim BollerslevZakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)
ধরনConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility modelAsymmetric volatility model
মৌলিক উৎসZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307–327. DOI ↗Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955. DOI ↗
অপর নামNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantGARCH, GARCH(1,1), conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeli (Oynaklık Tahmini)Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH
সম্পর্কিত456
সারসংক্ষেপThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity (GARCH) model, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986, models the time-varying conditional variance of a financial time series. It captures volatility clustering and the ARCH effect, and is the standard tool for estimating risk and volatility in return series.The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: Nonlinear TGARCH model · GARCH Model · TGARCH model. 2026-06-19 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare