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শর্তাধীন ঝুঁকি-মূল্য (প্রত্যাশিত ঘাটতি)×কোয়ান্টাইল রিগ্রেশন×Realized Volatility এবং HAR মডেল×
ক্ষেত্রঅর্থায়নঅর্থমিতিঅর্থায়ন
পরিবারRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
উদ্ভবের বছর200019782009
প্রবর্তকRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Koenker & BassettCorsi (HAR model); Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold & Labys (realized volatility)
ধরনCoherent tail-risk measureConditional quantile regressionTime-series regression of realized variance
মৌলিক উৎসRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗Corsi, F. (2009). A Simple Approximate Long-Memory Model of Realized Volatility. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 7(2), 174-196. DOI ↗
অপর নামCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyonrealized variance, HAR model, heterogeneous autoregressive model of realized volatility, HAR-RV
সম্পর্কিত555
সারসংক্ষেপConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.Realized volatility estimates an asset's variance directly from high-frequency intraday returns rather than from a parametric latent process. The Heterogeneous Autoregressive (HAR) model of Corsi (2009), building on the realized-volatility framework of Andersen, Bollerslev, Diebold and Labys (2003), forecasts this measure by combining daily, weekly, and monthly volatility components, and is a strong alternative to GARCH for volatility prediction.
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: Conditional Value-at-Risk · Quantile Regression · Realized Volatility. 2026-06-18 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare