Сравнение на методи

	Robust GARCH модел	Модел ARCH (Авторегресивен условен хетероскедастичност)	Модел EGARCH (Експоненциален GARCH)	Квантилна регресия
Област	Иконометрия	Иконометрия	Иконометрия	Иконометрия
Семейство	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Година на възникване	1986–2013	1982	1991	1978
Създател	Boudt, Danielsson & Laurent (robust extensions); Bollerslev (standard GARCH, 1986)	Robert F. Engle	Daniel B. Nelson	Koenker & Bassett
Тип	Volatility model	Conditional volatility model	Volatility / conditional variance model	Conditional quantile regression
Основополагащ източник	Boudt, K., Danielsson, J., & Laurent, S. (2013). Robust forecasting of dynamic conditional correlation GARCH models. International Journal of Forecasting, 29(2), 244–257.	Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007.	Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370.	Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50.
Други названия	Robust GARCH, outlier-robust GARCH, heavy-tail GARCH, contamination-robust volatility model	ARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model	Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH	conditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Свързани	5	6	6	5
Резюме	The Robust GARCH model extends the classical GARCH framework to handle outliers and heavy-tailed innovations that commonly appear in financial return series. By down-weighting extreme observations through a robust innovation term, it produces more reliable volatility forecasts when data contain jumps, crises, or other anomalies that would otherwise distort standard GARCH estimates.	The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.	The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.	Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.