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Факторно-допълнена векторна авторегресия (FAVAR)×Модел на Марковски превключващи се режими (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Векторна авторегресия с праг и плавен преход (TVAR / STVAR)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване200519891998
СъздателBernanke, Boivin & Eliasz (2005); building on Stock & Watson diffusion indexesHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
ТипMultivariate time-series modelRegime-switching time series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Основополагащ източникBernanke, B. S., Boivin, J. & Eliasz, P. (2005). Measuring the Effects of Monetary Policy: A Factor-Augmented Vector Autoregressive (FAVAR) Approach. The Quarterly Journal of Economics, 120(1), 387-422. DOI ↗Hamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
Други названияfactor-augmented VAR, FAVAR model, Faktör Artırımlı VAR (FAVAR)regime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Свързани455
РезюмеFAVAR is a multivariate time-series model that first compresses information from a very large set of variables into a few common factors, then includes those factors alongside the observed variables in a vector autoregression. It was introduced by Bernanke, Boivin and Eliasz in 2005 to study monetary policy using hundreds of macroeconomic indicators at once.The Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: FAVAR · Markov-Switching Model · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Извлечено на 2026-06-19 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare