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Модел на Марковски превключващи се режими (MS-AR / MS-VAR)×Векторна авторегресия с праг и плавен преход (TVAR / STVAR)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване19891998
СъздателHamilton (1989); Kim & Nelson (1999)Tsay (multivariate threshold modelling)
ТипRegime-switching time series modelNonlinear multivariate time-series model
Основополагащ източникHamilton, J. D. (1989). A New Approach to the Economic Analysis of Nonstationary Time Series and the Business Cycle. Econometrica, 57(2), 357-384. DOI ↗Tsay, R. S. (1998). Testing and Modeling Multivariate Threshold Models. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 93(443), 1188-1202. DOI ↗
Други названияregime-switching model, Markov-switching autoregression, MS-AR, MS-VARTVAR, STVAR, regime-switching VAR, threshold VAR
Свързани55
РезюмеThe Markov regime-switching model lets the parameters of a time series change probabilistically across hidden regimes governed by a Markov chain. Introduced by Hamilton (1989) and developed further by Kim and Nelson (1999), it automatically detects business-cycle phases such as expansions and contractions.Threshold VAR and Smooth-Transition VAR are nonlinear multivariate time-series models in which the coefficients of a vector autoregression switch between regimes according to a threshold variable. Building on Tsay's 1998 treatment of multivariate threshold models, they capture different dynamic structures across phases such as the business cycle, financial crises, or policy differences.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Markov-Switching Model · Threshold and Smooth-Transition VAR. Извлечено на 2026-06-19 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare