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Тест ARCH-LM за клъстеризация на волатилността×Експоненциален GARCH (EGARCH)×Обобщена авторегресионна условна хетероскедастичност (GARCH)×GJR-GARCH (Асиметричен GARCH)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрияИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване1982199119861993
СъздателRobert F. EngleNelsonTim BollerslevGlosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993); Zakoian (1994)
ТипLagrange multiplier diagnostic test for conditional heteroscedasticityConditional volatility model (asymmetric GARCH variant)Conditional volatility modelAsymmetric conditional volatility model
Основополагащ източникEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987-1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional Heteroskedasticity in Asset Returns: A New Approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347-370. DOI ↗Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity. Journal of Econometrics, 31(3), 307-327. DOI ↗Glosten, L. R., Jagannathan, R. & Runkle, D. E. (1993). On the Relation Between the Expected Value and the Volatility of the Nominal Excess Return on Stocks. The Journal of Finance, 48(5), 1779-1801. DOI ↗
Други названияARCH-LM Testi ve Volatilite Kümelenmesi Analizi, ARCH LM test, Engle's ARCH test, test for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticityexponential GARCH, Nelson's EGARCH, asymmetric GARCH, EGARCH — Üstel GARCHGARCH(1,1), generalized ARCH, conditional volatility model, GARCH Modeliasymmetric GARCH, leverage GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH — Asimetrik GARCH (Glosten-Jagannathan-Runkle)
Свързани6455
РезюмеThe ARCH-LM test is Robert Engle's (1982) Lagrange multiplier diagnostic for autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity in the residuals of a fitted time-series model. It checks whether the error variance changes over time and clusters into calm and turbulent periods, and it is the standard pre-test run before fitting a GARCH-family volatility model.EGARCH is an asymmetric GARCH variant, introduced by Nelson in 1991, that models the leverage effect in which bad news raises volatility more than good news of the same size. It captures the negative-shock asymmetry of financial return series by modelling the logarithm of the conditional variance.GARCH is an econometric model for the time-varying volatility of financial time series, introduced by Tim Bollerslev in 1986 as a generalisation of Engle's ARCH model. It treats the conditional variance as a function of past squared shocks and past variances, capturing the volatility clustering seen in returns.GJR-GARCH is a variant of the GARCH conditional-volatility model that captures the asymmetric effect of negative shocks on volatility using an indicator variable. It was introduced by Glosten, Jagannathan and Runkle (1993), with a closely related threshold formulation by Zakoian (1994).
ScholarGateНабор от данни
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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: ARCH-LM Test · EGARCH · GARCH · GJR-GARCH. Извлечено на 2026-06-20 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare