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نموذج الانحدار الذاتي متعدد المتغيرات ذي المعاملات المتغيرة عبر الزمن (TVP-VAR)×الانحدار الذاتي البنيوي للمتجهات (SVAR)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة200519802005
صاحب الطريقةGiorgio PrimiceriChristopher SimsLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
النوعBayesian state-space modelStructural multivariate time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيPrimiceri, G. E. (2005). Time varying structural vector autoregressions and monetary policy. Review of Economic Studies, 72(3), 821–852. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةTime-Varying Parameter Vector Autoregression, TVP-SVAR, Stochastic Coefficient VAR, Zamana Göre Değişen Parametreli VARStructural VAR, Identified VAR, SVAR Model, Yapısal Vektör Otoregresyonvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ذات صلة224
الملخصTVP-VAR is a Bayesian multivariate time-series model in which both the VAR coefficients and the shock covariance matrix are allowed to evolve continuously over time as random walks. Introduced by Primiceri (2005) to study U.S. monetary policy transmission, the model captures structural changes and regime shifts without requiring ex-ante knowledge of when breaks occurred, making it indispensable for macroeconomics, finance, and any setting where economic relationships are suspected to be unstable across time.Structural Vector Autoregression (SVAR) is a multivariate time-series model, developed by Christopher Sims (1980), that extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economically motivated identifying restrictions on contemporaneous relationships among variables. SVAR enables researchers to isolate orthogonal structural shocks and trace their causal dynamic effects through impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions, making it a cornerstone of modern empirical macroeconomics.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: TVP-VAR · SVAR · VAR Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare