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نموذج DCC-GARCH اللاخطي (الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي غير المتماثل)×نموذج DCC-GARCH (الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي)×نموذج EGARCH (نموذج التباين الشرطي المتغير الأسي)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة200620021991
صاحب الطريقةCappiello, Engle & SheppardRobert F. EngleDaniel B. Nelson
النوعMultivariate volatility and correlation modelMultivariate volatility modelVolatility / conditional variance model
المصدر التأسيسيCappiello, L., Engle, R. F., & Sheppard, K. (2006). Asymmetric dynamics in the correlations of global equity and bond returns. Journal of Financial Econometrics, 4(4), 537–572. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةADCC-GARCH, Asymmetric DCC-GARCH, NL-DCC-GARCH, Nonlinear Asymmetric DCCDCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCCExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
ذات صلة256
الملخصThe Nonlinear DCC-GARCH model extends Engle's (2002) Dynamic Conditional Correlation framework by allowing correlations to respond asymmetrically to negative versus positive return shocks. Proposed by Cappiello, Engle, and Sheppard (2006), it is the standard tool for measuring time-varying co-movement and contagion effects in multivariate financial time series when bad news is expected to increase correlations more than good news.The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: Nonlinear DCC-GARCH model · DCC-GARCH model · EGARCH model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare