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نمذجة التقلبات الشرطية متعددة المتغيرات BEKK-GARCH×نموذج الارتباط الشرطي الديناميكي (DCC-GARCH)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالتمويلالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة199520022005
صاحب الطريقةRobert Engle & Kenneth KronerRobert F. EngleLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
النوعMultivariate conditional volatility modelMultivariate volatility modelMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيEngle, R. F., & Kroner, K. F. (1995). Multivariate simultaneous generalized ARCH. Econometric Theory, 11(1), 122–150. DOI ↗Engle, R. (2002). Dynamic Conditional Correlation: A Simple Class of Multivariate GARCH Models. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةBEKK Model, Baba-Engle-Kraft-Kroner GARCH, Multivariate BEKK, BEKK-ÇARCH Modelidynamic conditional correlation, Engle DCC, multivariate GARCH, DCC-GARCH — Dinamik Koşullu Korelasyonvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ذات صلة354
الملخصBEKK-GARCH, proposed by Engle and Kroner (1995), is a multivariate GARCH specification that models the time-varying conditional covariance matrix of a system of financial return series. Named after Baba, Engle, Kraft, and Kroner, it is the dominant framework for quantifying volatility spillovers and dynamic correlations across multiple assets or markets simultaneously, widely adopted by financial economists and risk managers since the mid-1990s.DCC-GARCH is Engle's (2002) multivariate volatility model that lets the correlations between several assets change over time. A separate univariate GARCH model is fitted to each series, and then the dynamic correlation matrix is estimated in a second, separate step.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: BEKK-GARCH · DCC-GARCH · VAR Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-19 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare