قارن الطرق
راجع الطرق التي اخترتها جنبًا إلى جنب؛ الصفوف المختلفة مميَّزة.
| اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)× | اختبار التكامل المشترك (يوهانسن / إنجل-جرانجر)× | انحدار المربعات الصغرى العادية (OLS)× | نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)× | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| المجال | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي | الاقتصاد القياسي |
| العائلة | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model | Regression model |
| سنة النشأة≠ | 2001 | 1988 | 2019 | 2005 |
| صاحب الطريقة≠ | Pesaran, Shin & Smith | Engle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988) | Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squares | Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition |
| النوع≠ | Cointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag model | Time-series cointegration test | Linear regression | Multivariate time-series model |
| المصدر التأسيسي≠ | Pesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗ | Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗ | Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860 | Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗ |
| الأسماء البديلة | Pesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test) | Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger) | ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonu | vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon |
| ذات صلة≠ | 4 | 5 | 5 | 4 |
| الملخص≠ | The ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations. | The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988). | Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE). | Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005). |
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