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اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)×اختبار التكامل المشترك (يوهانسن / إنجل-جرانجر)×انحدار المربعات الصغرى العادية (OLS)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة2001198820192005
صاحب الطريقةPesaran, Shin & SmithEngle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
النوعCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelTime-series cointegration testLinear regressionMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuvector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ذات صلة4554
الملخصThe ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: ARDL Bounds Test · Cointegration Test · OLS Regression · VAR Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare