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اختبار حدود ARDL (اختبار حدود بيسران)×اختبار التكامل المشترك (يوهانسن / إنجل-جرانجر)×نموذج الانحدار الذاتي المتجهي (VAR)×
المجالالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسيالاقتصاد القياسي
العائلةRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
سنة النشأة200119882005
صاحب الطريقةPesaran, Shin & SmithEngle & Granger (1987); Johansen (1988)Lütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
النوعCointegration test / Autoregressive distributed lag modelTime-series cointegration testMultivariate time-series model
المصدر التأسيسيPesaran, M. H., Shin, Y., & Smith, R. J. (2001). Bounds Testing Approaches to the Analysis of Level Relationships. Journal of Applied Econometrics, 16(3), 289–326. DOI ↗Johansen, S. (1988). Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12(2-3), 231-254. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
الأسماء البديلةPesaran bounds test, bounds testing approach, ARDL cointegration test, ARDL Sınır Testi (Pesaran Bounds Test)Johansen cointegration test, Engle-Granger cointegration test, long-run equilibrium test, Eşbütünleşme Testi (Johansen/Engle-Granger)vector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
ذات صلة454
الملخصThe ARDL bounds test is an autoregressive distributed lag method that tests for a cointegrating (long-run level) relationship between time series, introduced by Pesaran, Shin and Smith in 2001. Unlike the Johansen procedure, it remains valid whether the variables are I(0), I(1) or a mix of the two, and it is more reliable than Johansen in small samples of roughly 30 to 80 observations.The cointegration test examines whether non-stationary time series that each contain a unit root share a stable long-run equilibrium relationship. The single-equation residual approach was introduced by Engle and Granger (1987) and the system-based rank approach by Johansen (1988).Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGateقارن الطرق: ARDL Bounds Test · Cointegration Test · VAR Model. استُرجع بتاريخ 2026-06-18 من https://scholargate.app/ar/compare