Bayesian methodsUncertainty theory
不精确概率
不精确概率是标准概率论的推广，它通过概率测度集（称为信度集）而非单一精确分布来表示认知不确定性。该框架由 Peter Walley 在其 1991 年的专著中系统性地提出，通过下概率和上概率（或先验）来刻画信念，当可用信息不足以确定唯一测度时，它们界定了合理概率赋值的范围。
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来源
- Walley, P. (1991). Statistical Reasoning with Imprecise Probabilities. Chapman & Hall. ISBN: 978-0-412-28660-5
如何引用本页
ScholarGate. (2026, June 2). Imprecise Probability (Lower-Upper Probabilities). ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/soft-computing/imprecise-probability
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