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贝叶斯敏感性分析 — 先验信息不确定性传播与输出敏感性评估

贝叶斯敏感性分析(Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis, BSA)将贝叶斯推断与敏感性分析相结合,系统地量化不确定模型输入(以先验概率分布表示)如何通过模型传播并影响输出。它识别哪些参数对输出变异性影响最大,从而在真实不确定性下支持稳健的结论。

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来源

  1. Berger, J. O. (1994). An overview of robust Bayesian analysis. Test, 3(1), 5–124. DOI: 10.1007/BF02562676
  2. Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 9780470059975

如何引用本页

ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis — Prior-informed uncertainty propagation and output sensitivity assessment. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-sensitivity-analysis

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被引用于

ScholarGateBayesian Sensitivity Analysis (Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis — Prior-informed uncertainty propagation and output sensitivity assessment). 于 2026-06-15 检索自 https://scholargate.app/zh/simulation/bayesian-sensitivity-analysis · 数据集: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026