方法证据记录
Policy Scenario Analysis
Policy Scenario Analysis is a structured method for evaluating how different policy interventions perform across a range of plausible future states. By pairing specific policy levers with alternative scenarios, analysts can assess robustness, trade-offs, and unintended consequences of policy choices before implementation — making it a cornerstone of evidence-based policy design in fields from climate to public health.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Policy Scenario Analysis — Structured evaluation of policy interventions across plausible future states
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / simulation
- Swart, R., Raskin, P., Robinson, J. (2004). The problem of the future: sustainability science and scenario analysis. Global Environmental Change, 14(2), 137–146. · DOI 10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2003.10.002
- Bishop, P., Hines, A., Collins, T. (2007). The current state of scenario development: an overview of techniques. Foresight, 9(1), 5–25. · DOI 10.1108/14636680710727516
精选声明
声明已持久化到证据分类账中，每个声明都有自己的评估。
尚无精选声明
当分类账中没有声明时，此视图不会自行创建声明评估。
相关方法
从方法图中生成，显示为机器建议的关系 — 不推断任何证据声明。