方法证据记录
Multi-objective Scenario Analysis
Multi-objective Scenario Analysis (MOSA) is a structured method that constructs a set of plausible future scenarios and evaluates each scenario against multiple competing objectives or criteria. By making trade-offs explicit across objectives and across possible futures, it supports strategic decisions where uncertainty about the future and conflicts between goals co-exist. It is widely applied in energy planning, climate adaptation, public policy, and corporate strategy.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Multi-objective Scenario Analysis — Evaluating alternative futures across multiple competing objectives
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / simulation
- Stewart, T. J., French, S., & Rios, J. (2013). Integrating multicriteria decision analysis and scenario planning: Review and extension. Omega, 41(4), 679-688. · DOI 10.1016/j.omega.2012.09.003
- Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: A tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. · URL
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