方法证据记录
Kelly Criterion
The Kelly Criterion (1956) is a formula for optimal bet sizing that maximizes the long-run logarithmic growth of wealth. It specifies the optimal fraction of capital to risk on each trade based on win probability and payoff ratio. The criterion has become foundational in quantitative trading, portfolio management, and behavioral economics.
源记录
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Kelly Criterion for Optimal Position Sizing
分类方法记录 · regression-model / quantitative-finance
- Kelly, J. L. (1956). A new interpretation of information rate. Bell System Technical Journal, 35(4), 917-926. · DOI 10.1002/j.1538-7305.1956.tb03809.x
- Thorp, E. O. (2017). A Man for All Markets: From Las Vegas to Wall Street. Random House. · URL
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