方法证据记录
Holt-Winters
Holt-Winters triple exponential smoothing is a forecasting model that extends Holt's double smoothing by adding a seasonal component, introduced by Peter Winters in 1960 building on Charles Holt's work. It tracks three evolving quantities — level, trend, and season — and combines them to forecast a continuous time series.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing
分类方法记录 · regression-model / econometrics
- Winters, P. R. (1960). Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. Management Science, 6(3), 324-342. · DOI 10.1287/mnsc.6.3.324
- Holt, C. C. (2004). Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. International Journal of Forecasting, 20(1), 5-10. · DOI 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2003.09.015
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