方法证据记录
Delphi Technique
The Delphi technique is a structured, multi-round data collection method that harvests and refines expert opinion through iterative questionnaires and controlled feedback. Developed at RAND Corporation in the 1950s, it is designed to converge a dispersed expert panel toward a reliable consensus on complex, uncertain, or future-oriented questions — without the conformity pressures of face-to-face group discussion.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Delphi Technique for Expert Consensus
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / survey-methodology
- Dalkey, N., & Helmer, O. (1963). An experimental application of the Delphi method to the use of experts. Management Science, 9(3), 458–467. · DOI 10.1287/mnsc.9.3.458
- Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. · URL
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