方法证据记录
Technology Delphi
The technology Delphi is a large-scale, multi-round expert survey used to forecast the timing, importance, and feasibility of future technological developments. Built on the classic Delphi principles of anonymity, iteration, controlled feedback, and statistical aggregation, it elicits judgements from hundreds or thousands of experts on a structured list of technology statements and converges them, round by round, into a collective forecast that informs national and organisational science and technology priorities.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Delphi Method for Technology Foresight (Large-Scale Technology Delphi)
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / science-technology-studies
- Linstone, H. A., & Turoff, M. (Eds.). (1975). The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. Addison-Wesley. · ISBN 9780201042948
- Cuhls, K. (2003). From forecasting to foresight processes—new participative foresight activities in Germany. Journal of Forecasting, 22(2-3), 93-111. · DOI 10.1002/for.848
精选声明
声明已持久化到证据分类账中，每个声明都有自己的评估。
尚无精选声明
当分类账中没有声明时，此视图不会自行创建声明评估。
相关方法
从方法图中生成，显示为机器建议的关系 — 不推断任何证据声明。