方法证据记录
Bayesian Event Tree Analysis
Bayesian Event Tree Analysis (B-ETA) is a quantitative risk assessment method that extends classical event tree analysis by incorporating Bayesian inference to assign and update branch probabilities. Starting from an initiating event, it maps sequences of successes and failures through safety barriers, using prior distributions and observed evidence to produce posterior outcome probabilities. Widely used in nuclear safety, process industries, and system reliability engineering.
源记录
引文逐字复制自方法源记录。这些引文不代表任何层级的验证。
Bayesian Event Tree Analysis
分类方法记录 · process-pipeline / experimental-design
- Bearfield, G., & Marsh, W. (2005). Generalising event trees using Bayesian networks with a case study of train derailment. In G. Windeknecht et al. (Eds.), Proceedings of the 13th Safety-Critical Systems Symposium. Springer. · URL
- Event tree analysis. Wikipedia. · URL
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